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Uma banca de DEFESA de DOUTORADO foi cadastrada pelo programa.
DATA : 26/03/2021
HORA: 14:00
LOCAL: Remoto

Probabilistic Load Flow by Monte Carlo Simulation to Determine the Amount of Use of the Transmission System.

GRANDE ÁREA: Engenharias
ÁREA: Engenharia Elétrica
SUBÁREA: Sistemas Elétricos de Potência
ESPECIALIDADE: Transmissão da Energia Elétrica, Distribuição da Energia Elétrica

Access to the transmission network by generators and distributors is essential in the unbundled configuration of the electricity market. Regulatory agents seek to improve the relationship between network users and their operators in order to optimize investments, increase reliability and lower tariffs. In this context, the need arises to foresee the use of transmission networks as accurately as possible to correctly signal to planners and to reduce users' tariff costs. This paper aims to present a methodology for obtaining the amounts of power at the connection points between users and the transmission network, in addition to a search system for the least probable charge or by assumed risk. A probabilistic load flow method by numerical method was used, with the search for the lowest charge value. The inputs were modeled as random variables with known probability distribution functions. High concentrations of wind generators were considered and modeled as Weibull distributions. Two known systems were used as case studies: a 6-bus one and a modified IEEE 14 bus system. The results showed the amounts by risk and by lower value, being useful as an auxiliary tool for decision making by users. The presented method proved to be an interesting proposal for situations that require a forecast of the amounts of use of the transmission system in the medium and long term, with the presence of wind generators.

Presidente - Interno ao Programa - 1876380 - THALES SOUSA
Membro Titular - Examinador(a) Interno ao Programa - 1544340 - PATRICIA TEIXEIRA LEITE ASANO
Membro Titular - Examinador(a) Interno ao Programa - 2286312 - JOEL DAVID MELO TRUJILLO
Membro Titular - Examinador(a) Externo ao Programa - 2200473 - JOSE ALBERTO TORRICO ALTUNA
Membro Titular - Examinador(a) Externo à Instituição - EDUARDO WERLEY SILVA DOS ANGELOS
Membro Suplente - Examinador(a) Externo ao Programa - 1544371 - JORGE TOMIOKA
Membro Suplente - Examinador(a) Externo à Instituição - CLAUDIONOR FRANCISCO DO NASCIMENTO - UFSCAR
Notícia cadastrada em: 26/02/2021 12:01
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